Scenario Development

Caille F, Riera JL, Rodriguez-Labajos B, MiddeUcoop H, Rosell-Mele A (2007) Participatory scenario development for integrated assessment of nutrient flows in a Catalan river catchment. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss 4 1265-1299... 

The scenarios developed for the reactor system described in Figure 8-6 are summarized in Table 8-2. The worst-case scenarios are identified later by means of the computed maximum relief area for each scenario and relief (see chapter 9). In Table 8-2 only three reliefs have mul-... 

Scenario Development and Simulation The typical procedure for assessing the consequences of an airborne contaminant release is as follows ... 

The scenarios developed in the project showed a wide range of possible impacts for trade. In the worst case, the installer will lose clients as the energy supplier may offer an all-inclusive service to the customer. This means that the energy supplier will install its own fuel-cell heating appliances in the cellar or basement of the customer s house, provide electricity and heat and be paid an all-inclusive price by the customer. The energy supplier employs its own technicians for installation, maintenance and repair. The customer does not know whether the electricity is generated by the... 

Figure 14.5 shows the different scenarios with respect to the development of the market penetration of hydrogen passenger cars until 2050, as developed by the HyWays project for the EU (HyWays, 2007) in addition, the most optimistic world hydrogen penetration scenario developed by the IEA is displayed (which also includes... 

According to International Energy Agency (lEA), scenarios developed for the USA and the EU indicate that near-term targets of up to 6% displacement of petroleum fuels with biofuels appear feasible using conventional biofuels, given available cropland. A 5% displacement of gasoline in the EU requires about 5%... 

For Switzerland [30] published detailed climate scenarios developed by [31] Until 2050, the warming will be practically the same on the northern and southern sides of the Alps. According to a middle estimate, the temperature will increase in northern Switzerland by 1.8°C in winter and 2.7°C in summer, and in southern Switzerland by 1.8°C in winter and 2.8°C in summer. For the transitional seasons, the warming will be comparable to the warming in winter (spring 1.8°C on the northern and southern sides of the Alps autumn 2.1°C on the northern side, 2.2°C on the southern side). 

The base case hypothesizes the treatment of 880,000 tons of sediments containing 580 parts per million (ppm) of polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs). The estimates in Table 1 represent the base-case scenario developed during the demonstration (D132627, pp. 21-29 pp. 52-54). 

Figure 7.1 Two-way interactions matches and mismatches. Scenarios developed by Pamela Ramsden, based on her interviews with senior managers and her observations of senior teams in action. For expleuiation of phases, see text. Adapted from Moore (1982 96-99) by permission of the publisher. Pitman Publishing...

Sloan Management Review 36 25-40 Schoemaker PJH (1993) Multiple Scenario Development Its Conceptual and Behavioral Foundation. Strategic Management Journal 14 193-213... 

A2.2.1 Conceptual model the context, the question and scenario development... 

A simple model calculation of the folding transition in line with the above analysis has demonstrated that the degree of the remanent charge inside the folded part is a crucial factor for the transition manner (Fig. 3.12). If the folded part is completely neutralized by oppositely charged low molecular solvents, then the scenario developed for neutral semiflexible polymers can be applied. 

The first factor to be considered is the damage that could be inflicted. Consider loss of life as well as economic loss, and try to envision the worst-case possibilities. In the case of chemical facilities, the worst case resulting from a terrorist attack may be worse than the so-called worst-case scenario developed for chemical facilities covered by the EPA s Risk Management Plan mle (EPA, 1996). 

Characterization of exposure (half of the analysis phase shown in Figure 3) evaluates the interaction of the stressor with the ecological component. Exposure can be expressed as co-occurrence or contact, depending on the stressor and the ecological component involved. An exposure profile is developed that quantifies the magnitude and spatial and temporal distributions of exposure for the scenarios developed during problem formulation and serves as input to the risk characterization. 

This interface is a mock-up with which all relevant activities can be performed. However, the mock-up cannot be connected and used with the full-functional AHEAD system. As can be seen from Fig. 5.52 some menu items were eliminated by the software-ergonomic review and redesign. The scenario, developed for evaluation and improvement of the user interface aimed to the creation of a new document. Divided into subtasks for the work analysis, this goal is achieved by successively going through nine subtasks (6.1 to 6.9), which are represented in Fig. 5.52. The decision if the creation is started by menu or button represents the initial activity (6.1.1 or 6.1.2). After that, one task must be chosen by entering the task-number or clicking on the task. This step... 

The commercial and environmental opportunities associated with these changes are on a scale similar to those produced by the first industrial revolution or the rise of the information technology age. Many unforeseen synergies will no doubt emerge as the scenarios develop. 

Figure 6.2 A development and communication model for ES. In the box marked 1 , the determination of the strategy for information collection and ES development is described. In box numbers 3 and 4, the development of ES is described. In box number 2, communication between the actors in the supply chain is described. Reproduced with permission from Guidance on Exposure Scenarios Development and Supply Chain Communication, CEFIC. CEFIC (AISBL) - [11]...

AR256 Scenario development methods and practice. Radioactive Waste Management. An evaluation based on the NEA workshop on scenario development, Madrid, May 1999. 

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