Short-term risk-free rate

A short-rate model can be used to derive a complete term structure. We can illustrate this by showing how the model can be used to price discount bonds of any maturity. The derivation is not shown here. Let P t, T) be the price of a risk-free zero-coupon bond at time t maturing at time T that has a maturity value of 1. This price is a random process, although we know that the price at time T will be 1. Assume that an investor holds this bond, which has been financed by borrowing funds of value C,. Therefore, at any time t the value of the short cash position must be C,= —P(t, T) otherwise, there would be an arbitrage position. The value of the short cash position is growing at a rate dictated by the short-term risk-free rate r, and this rate is given by... 

Real short term risk-free rate... 

Calculate the price of a call option written with strike price 21 and a maturity of three months written on a non-dividend-paying stock whose current share price is 25 and whose implied volatility is 23 percent, given a short-term risk-free interest rate of 5 percent. 

Myers and Shyam-Sunder observed that the appropriate risk-free rate is the short-term Treasury bill rate, but this must be adjusted for forecasts that will govern... 

In the academic literature, the risk-neutral price of a zero-coupon bond is expressed in terms of the evolution of the short-term interest rate, r t)—the rate earned on a money market account or on a short-dated risk-free security such as the T-bill—which is assumed to be continuously compounded. These assumptions make the mathematical treatment simpler. Consider a zero-coupon bond that makes one payment, of 1, on its maturity date T. Its value at time ris given by equation (3.14), which is the redemption value of 1 divided by the value of the money market account, given by (3.12). 

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In this chapter, we have considered both equilibrium and arbitrage-free interest-rate models. These are one-factor Gaussian models of the term structure of interest rates. We saw that in order to specify a term structure model, the respective authors described the dynamics of the price process, and that this was then used to price a zero-coupon bond. The short-rate that is modelled is assumed to be a risk-free interest rate, and once this is modelled, we can derive the forward rate and the yield of a zero-coupon bond, as well as its price. So, it is possible to model the entire forward rate curve as a function of the current short-rate only, in the Vasicek and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models, among others. Both the Vasicek and Merton models assume constant parameters, and because of equal probabilities of forward rates and the assumption of a normal distribution, they can, xmder certain conditions relating to the level of the standard deviation, produce negative forward rates. 

When valuing an option written on say, an equity the price of the underlying asset is the current price of the equity. When pricing an interest-rate option the underlying is obtained via a random process that described the instantaneous risk-free zero-coupon rate, which is generally termed the short rate. 

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