Planning Under Uncertainty for a Single Refinery Plant

Planning Under Uncertainty for a Single Refinery Plant 

Chemical process systems are subject to uncertainties due to many random events such as raw material variations, demand fluctuations, equipment failures, and so on. In this chapter we will utilize stochastic programming (SP) methods to deal with these uncertainties that are typically employed in computational finance applications. These methods have been very useful in screening alternatives on the basis of the expected value of economic criteria as well as the economic and operational risks involved. Several approaches have been reported in the literature addressing the problem of production planning under uncertainty. Extensive reviews surveying various issues in this area can be found in Applequist et al. (1997), Shah (1998), Cheng, Subrahmanian, and Westerberg (2005) and Mendez et al. (2006). 

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