Mystery plunge

For an analysis of the mystery plunge, see James Hedlund, Robert Arnold, Ezio Cerrelli, Susan Partyka, Paul Hoxie and David Skinner An Assessment of the 1982 Traffic Fatality Dearease Accident Analysis and Prevention (August 1984) 247-262. Also see Susan C. Partyka Simple Models of Fatality Trends Using Employment and Population Data Accident Analysis and Prevention (June 1984) 211-222 and P. P. Scott Modelling Time-Series of British Road Accident DdXsP Accident Analysis and Prevention (April 1S>86) 109-117. 

More comprehensive analysis of traffic safety measures should be done. The key variables should be traffic fatalities, the traffic fatality rates and the analysis should be based on a general individual net benefit type of framework. Econometric and statistical time series models should be emphasized so as to facilitate bottom line analysis of fatality rates. Bottom line analysis is essential to a better understanding of determinants of traffic safety and taking some of the mystery out of mystery plunges. Bottom-line evaluation is essential to overall evaluation of traffic safety policy. Bottom line evaluation provides additional information on interactions within the traffic safety system. These interactions are difficult to incorporate precisely in anal is of polity measures evaluated one at a time. 

It was in their undergraduate days, however. In the midst of their profoundest plunges into the mysteries of organic chemistry, that Doris Van Benschoten entered into their lives. 

---