Decision analysis techniques, lead optimization

For a primary commodity, like lead, effective decisions on production, the timing of purchases, future investments, or optimal hedging and speculative strategies, all hinge crucially on the ability to anticipate future movements in price correctly. Various price forecasting techniques have consequently been developed, which differ in complexity and focus. The choice of technique(s) will ultimately depend on the use to which the price forecast is to be put, and the frequency with which it is required. Two basic approaches are used to forecast primary commodity prices fundamental and technical analysis. ... 

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