Buyer Questionnaire Responses

The buyer part of the questionnaires was answered by seventeen countries Argentina, Chile, China, Colombia, Ecuador, Finland, 

Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Morocco, Nigeria, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Tunisia, Turkey and Uruguay. Of these, Argentina, China, Finland and Mexico already have nuclear power plants in the size range 

Some questionnaire responses are collected for comparison purposes in Tables 5.2-1 to 5.2-3. 

As the forecast electricity demand and installed capacity are so important for the study of the potential market, it is of particular interest to see how the questionnaire responses compare in this respect with the IAEA assumptions which have been used generally for a much larger number of countries in Section 5.3. In the developing countries concerned it is realistic to assume an exponential increase of electricity demand over the limited time period of the study. This is well supported by experience in a situation without serious economic disturbances. 

A comparison of the demand growth rates forecast for the period 1991-2001 gives the following  

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Two questionnaires were used to obtain information from potential suppliers and buyers. Suppliers responded with an overwhelming 23 design concepts which could be offered for export but with varying levels of readiness and provenness. From potential buyers 17 responses were received, 16 of which were from the developing countries. 

The responses to the IAEA questionnaires from potential buyers and suppliers do not contradict these assumptions. 

The only OECD countries to submit buyer responses to the SMPR questionnaire were Finland and Turkey. In Finland s response, plans were outlined for 1000 to 1500 MWe of new capacity between 1991 and 1994. The response does not specifically address markets for SMPRs, but does note that competitive 500 to 600 MWe MPR units are being considered. Turkey is considering the purchase of its first nuclear power station. Although SMPRs are currently excluded, proposals involve units of 600 MWe and larger sizes. Although no other OECD countries responded to the questionnaire, literature sources indicate a potential in some of them. At least two surveys of utility opinions on smaller units have also been reported. 

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