Virtually Changed Vehicle Geometry

Although the whole vehicle fleet was virtually changed, these changes do not influence the processes involved in the situations themselves and thus the accident sample created. The characteristics obtained by the simulation regarding accidents and their genesis are similar to those of the baseUne described above. 

As explained in Sect. 5.2.6, only a model with geometric quantities among the explanatory factors is able to capture the effects of a changed vehicle geometry. 

304 for ISS16+ injuries indicates a substantially increased risk for severe injuries. (Due to a large number of accidents available in the simulation, the confidence intervals are rather small.) 

The confidence intervals for the PCDS data are thus by far larger than the simulative ones, which can be attributed to low case numbers compared to the simulation. The results obtained from simulation are in trend with the results from the literature, such as Henary et al. and with calculations presented here. When more observations become available in accident data in the future, a direct confirmation of the results obtained here is expected. 

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Virtually Changed Vehicle Geometry Table 6.1 Injury probabihties for the original sample and the virtually raised fleet... 

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