Stochastic Human Exposure and Dose Simulation

SHEDS Stochastic Human Exposure and Dose Simulation... 

Approaches for aggregating exposure for simple scenarios have been proposed in the literature (Shurdut et al., 1998 Zartarian et al., 2000). The USEPA s National Exposure Research Laboratory has developed the Stochastic Human Exposure and Dose Simulation (SHEDS) model for pesticides, which can be characterized as a first-generation aggregation model and the developers conclude that to refine and evaluate the model for use as a regulatory decision-making tool for residential scenarios, more robust data sets are needed for human activity patterns, surface residues for the most relevant snrface types, and cohort-specific exposure factors (Zartarian et al, 2000). The SHEDS framework was used by the USEPA to conduct a probabilistic exposure assessment for the specific exposure scenario of children contacting chromated copper arsenate (CCA)-treated playsets and decks (Zartarian et al, 2003). 

Monte Carlo analysis is a specific probabilistic assessment method that can be used to characterize health risks and their likelihood of occurrence based on a wide range of parameters (Shade and Jayjock 1997). The U.S. EPA s Stochastic Human Exposure and Dose Simulation (SHEDS) model allows for the quantification of exposures based on a probabilistic assessment of multiple exposure pathways and multiple routes of exposure (Mokhtari et al. 2006 US EPA 2003b). Additional applications of probabilistic techniques wiU be discussed in the section below on conducting an uncertainty analysis of reconstructed exposure values. 

Mokhtari, A., Christopher Frey, H., and Zheng, J. (2006). Evaluation and recommendation of sensitivity analysis methods for application to stochastic human exposure and dose simulation models. J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol 16, 491-506. 

SHEDS Stochastic human exposure and dose simulation... 

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