Biological-ecological variables

This second-level modeling of the feedback mechanisms leads to nonlinear models for processes, which, under some experimental conditions, may exhibit chaotic behavior. The previous equation is termed bilinear because of the presence of the b [y (/,)] r (I,) term and it is the general formalism for models in biology, ecology, industrial applications, and socioeconomic processes [601]. Bilinear mathematical models are useful to real-world dynamic behavior because of their variable structure. It has been shown that processes described by bilinear models are generally more controllable and offer better performance in control than linear systems. We emphasize that the unstable inherent character of chaotic systems fits exactly within the complete controllability principle discussed for bilinear mathematical models [601] additive control may be used to steer the system to new equilibrium points, and multiplicative control, either to stabilize a chaotic behavior or to enlarge the attainable space. Then, bilinear systems are of extreme importance in the design and use of optimal control for chaotic behaviors. We can now understand the butterfly effect, i.e., the extreme sensitivity of chaotic systems to tiny perturbations described in Chapter 3. 

Relevance. A key criterion in the selection of biological indicators is relevance to human and ecological health and to the development of policy. Fish are directly relevant, for example, given that consumption of fish is the primary pathway for exposure to MeHg. The concentration of MeHg in fish is also a key variable in the issuance of fish-consumption advisories. 

From a mathematical point of view, the onset of sustained oscillations generally corresponds to the passage through a Hopf bifurcation point [19] For a critical value of a control parameter, the steady state becomes unstable as a focus. Before the bifurcation point, the system displays damped oscillations and eventually reaches the steady state, which is a stable focus. Beyond the bifurcation point, a stable solution arises in the form of a small-amplitude limit cycle surrounding the unstable steady state [15, 17]. By reason of their stability or regularity, most biological rhythms correspond to oscillations of the limit cycle type rather than to Lotka-Volterra oscillations. Such is the case for the periodic phenomena in biochemical and cellular systems discussed in this chapter. The phase plane analysis of two-variable models indicates that the oscillatory dynamics of neurons also corresponds to the evolution toward a limit cycle [20]. A similar evolution is predicted [21] by models for predator-prey interactions in ecology. 

Establishing a reference condition by using field data typically involves a survey of the composition of the biological community at a variety of sites with minimal human activity but also represents the variety of habitat types or landforms that exists with the area being managed. A multivariate description, similar to that of the approach of Kersting discussed earlier, can be constructed for each habitat or landform type. This multivariate description is the reference condition. In this manner, the variability of the ecological system that is characteristic of each type of site can be represented. 

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