Model acceptance criteria for the time-domain technique predictability

4 Model acceptance criteria for the time-domain technique predictability 

As outlined in Section 24.4.4, we are likely to want to use the model to predict the behaviour of a certain important variable, 0 (e.g. the peak value of reactor exit temperature during a transient). Providing equation (24.117) is satisfied, then a conservative estimate of the variance, o, to be associated with the variable, 0, is given by equation (24.64), repeated below  

An estimate for giving full weight to knowledge derived from the results of the transients used as the basis for the model-distortion exercise would be 

Butterfield, M.H. and Thomas, P.J. (1986). Methods of quantitative validation for dynamic simulation models - Part I Theory, Trans. Inst. Measurtment and Control, 8,182-200. 

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