Chemical mass balance regression method

PLS (partial least squares) multiple regression technique is used to estimate contributions of various polluting sources in ambient aerosol composition. The characteristics and performance of the PLS method are compared to those of chemical mass balance regression model (CMB) and target transformation factor analysis model (TTFA). Results on the Quail Roost Data, a synthetic data set generated as a basis to compare various receptor models, is reported. PLS proves to be especially useful when the elemental compositions of both the polluting sources and the aerosol samples are measured with noise and there is a high correlation in both blocks. 

In this paper the PLS method was introduced as a new tool in calculating statistical receptor models. It was compared with the two most popular methods currently applied to aerosol data Chemical Mass Balance Model and Target Transformation Factor Analysis. The characteristics of the PLS solution were discussed and its advantages over the other methods were pointed out. PLS is especially useful, when both the predictor and response variables are measured with noise and there is high correlation in both blocks. It has been proved in several other chemical applications, that its performance is equal to or better than multiple, stepwise, principal component and ridge regression. Our goal was to create a basis for its environmental chemical application. 

Multivariate methods, on the other hand, resolve the major sources by analyzing the entire ambient data matrix. Factor analysis, for example, examines elemental and sample correlations in the ambient data matrix. This analysis yields the minimum number of factors required to reproduce the ambient data matrix, their relative chemical composition and their contribution to the mass variability. A major limitation in common and principal component factor analysis is the abstract nature of the factors and the difficulty these methods have in relating these factors to real world sources. Hopke, et al. (13.14) have improved the methods ability to associate these abstract factors with controllable sources by combining source data from the F matrix, with Malinowski s target transformation factor analysis program. (15) Hopke, et al. (13,14) as well as Klelnman, et al. (10) have used the results of factor analysis along with multiple regression to quantify the source contributions. Their approach is similar to the chemical mass balance approach except they use a least squares fit of the total mass on different filters Instead of a least squares fit of the chemicals on an individual filter. 

There are a number of different types of source apportionment models, including the chemical mass balance method, factor analysis, multiple linear regression analysis, and Lagrangian modeling. The chemical... 

---