Biological weapons case studies

Tucker, J. B. (2000). Lessons from the case studies. In J. B. Tucker (Ed.), Toxic terror Assessing terrorist use of chemical and biological weapons (pp. 249-270). Cambridge, MA MIT Press. 

Robert Waller, Case Study 2 Libya, The Deterence Series Chemical and Biological Weapons... 

In silico models of anthrax release can be used to bridge the gap to help predict consequences of human exposure in the event of an outbreak or biological attack scenario. Several modeling studies have been published (Wein et al., 2003) in attempts to assess anthrax risk. The model of Wein et al. (2003) assumes a point-release of 1 kg of spores at a height of 100 m over a city of 10 million inhabitants. The effects on mortality of different antibiotic treatment strategies in an urbanized anthrax release are examined. This in silico biological weapon attack results in more than 100,000 deaths, given that both symptomatic and as)miptomatic persons receive antibiotics and the model incorporates availability and distribution parameters. In the base case, an approximation of... 

Although the analysis dates from the 1940s, the final ALSOS mission report is still a useful case study today, in that it illustrates an analysis of whether a country s BW activities are defensive or offensive. This is a crucial distinction, because if BW activities are assessed as defensive, the program is permitted under current international law as embodied in the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention (BTWC), but if the activities are assessed as offensive, the program is prohibited by the BTWC. 

Robinson, J. P. Perry and Trapp, R., Production and chemistry of mustard gas, in J. Lundin, (ed.). Verification of Dual-use Chemicals under the Chemical Weapons Convention The Case of Thiodiglycol, SIPRI Chemical Biological Warfare Studies, no. 13, SIPRI, (Oxford University Press 1991), p. 11. 

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