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The Challenged Decision Maker

In fact, even with such a brain, supply management professionals might be unable to exercise complete rationality in anticipating and managing risk. Simon (1976) enumerated three perspectives to describe failures in objective rationaUty  [Pg.221]

1) Rationality requires a complete knowledge and anticipation of the consequences that will follow on each choice. In fact, knowledge of consequences is always fragmentary. [Pg.221]

2) Since these consequences he in the future, imagination must supply the lack of experienced feeling in attaching value to them. But values can be only imperfectly anticipated. [Pg.221]

3) Rationality requires a choice among all possible alternative behaviors. In actual behavior, only a very few of all these possible alternatives ever come to mind (p. 81). [Pg.221]


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