Demand Forecasting Dynamic Equation Model

Shao et al., Optimization of Integrated Supply Chain Planning under Multiple Uncertainty, DOI 10.1007/978-3-662 7250-7 3 

Sun invited experts to carry out complex statistical analysis. They invited three doctors to use sophisticated algorithms to get market research and market share data to make competitive analysis, and asked them to calculate some uncontrollable factors based on expectations and probability intervals. 

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Chapter 3 offers the customer demand forecast dynamic equation model, provides the model to determine the parameters in the model and discusses the method for parametric estimation and hypothesis testing for forecasting model error aimed at the customer demand forecast issue in the formulation of supply chain logistics planning. Furthermore, in order to enhance the precision of customer demand forecast in the supply chain and obtain relatively ideal forecast results, the research... 

Demand Forecasting Dynamic Equation Model Normal Probability Plot... 

According to the dynamic equation model prediction error parameter inspection results, with 95 % confidence level, the forecasting dynamic equation model can reflect the supply chain enterprise product demand trends accurately. The closer the forecast period is, the closer the forecast values and trend values are, and the smaller the average relative error and the variance are. 

Example 3.1 For the example in Sect. 3.3, customer demand dynamic equation model and B. Gong Spautz (B. Gompertz) model are used to forecast 2009 customer demand, forecast results are ... 

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