Modelling climate change impacts

The results were calculated using the SIMA Pro software. To obtain the necessary results, the Recipe Midpoint (H) Europe method has been chosen as a characterization model. Results come from the climate change impact category and they are expressed in kg of a carbon dioxide equivalent (C02e). 

Keywords Basin management, Climate change impacts, Downscaling, Hydrological modelling, Pollutants... 

Kriticos DI, Brown JR, Maywald GF, Radford ID, Nicholas DM, Sutherst RW, Adkins SW. 2003. SPAnDX a process-based population dynamics model to explore management and climate change impacts on an invasive alien plant, Acacia nilotica. Ecol Model 163 187-208. 

For the end-of-Ufe phase of the product, two scenarios were analysed within the scope of this study. The best case assumed direct release of the carbon sequestered in the product. Regardless of whether the product had one or more users, if the use phase was 10 years or less, all GHG emissions were treated as if they occurred at the beginning of the assessment period (i.e. in the first year). This approach was consistent with that recommended in ISO 14067 (ISO, 2013). A worst case scenario assumed that the products were landfilled. In this case, anaerobic decomposition of wool occurred, producing methane as well as CO2. Methane has 25 times the GWP of CO2 (IPCC, 2007) and landfill disposal produced a higher climate change impact as modelled based on a textile landfill dataset (PE, 2013). 

Guo S.L., Guo J., Zhang J. et al. 2009. VIC distributed hydrological model to predict climate change impact in the Hanjiang Basin. Science in China Technological Sciences 52(11) 3234-3239. 

Hurd BH, Callaway M, Smith J, Kirshen P (2004) Climatic change and US water resources from modeled watershed impacts to national estimates. J Am Water Resour As 40 129-148... 

Keywords Climate change, Hydrological impact, Hydrological modelling, PRUDENCE, SWAT... 

Moreover, although estimates of potential consequences are completely dependent on the climate models that are used, except for Eric Barron and Thomas Karl, all the panel members were from fields that use predicted changes from climate models to assess impact on their particular areas of interest, such as grassland or forest ecology. They were not trained to and could not be expected to focus attention on critical analysis of the climate models themselves, and that led to the problems detailed in this chapter. 

Keywords Impact of regulation and climate change, Inventories, Models, Spatial and temporal distribution, Trends... 

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